Lee has saved their bacon here, 160 is defendable with NSW's attack. but it's going to be fine and they can't let T&T dominate for any stretch of time.
it's going to require the quicks to take early wickets, the spinners to suffocate and the support bowlers to keep it reasonably tight (this was where it went wrong last time, henriques being slapped). any of those components fail to function and T&T will probably win.
I do feel a little sorry for T&T though, they've been undone by a factor no one would have considered, take those 5 sixes off lee and this would have been easy.