They'll play Beer, because they don't trust Smith's spin, and we need a spinner.
As for the pace attack, if Ponting sets that ridiculous 7-2 field again and asks them to bowl 3 feet outside off stump none of them will take wickets. It doesn't even work as a containing tactic because anything hit on the legside is runs, just plain dumb.
Not picking Hauritz is pure pigheadedness, they don't want to admit they were wrong to drop him, they will be hoping Beer takes wickets just so they don't look like idiots.
So, if Doherty took 3-306 against England, how many would he have taken against India? Yeah, inspired selection that one, idiots.
Beer will do better than Doherty, judging by the one photo I've seen of him where he looks tallish and seems to pivot on his front foot, thus creating some spin and maybe some drift and drop. He'll probably take 2-104, or something mediocre like that, maybe 1-78.
The only chance Australia has of winning this one is if we prepare a greentop, it's the only way to make our pace attack competitive, if it's flat we will not win.
Picking Johnson is fair enough I suppose, because potentially he can take wickets, he might get 11, while the the best Hilfenhaus can do is about 4.
Johnson just has to realise he is there to take wickets, and to do that he has to attack the stumps and attack the batsmen, he has to run in thinking of attacking, and not thinking "oh, I hope this one lands in the right spot" or "I hope this doesn't get hit for runs".
Just run in, bowl fast, attack the stumps, and bowl a bouncer every now and then.
Play Johnson here because it's going to be a draw, and if/when he fails, we can dump him and pick Hilfenhaus for Melbourne when we get serious about winning the series.
Slowcoach added 10 Minutes and 59 Seconds later...
Series prediction now...
WACA...Draw. Flat pitch, both teams have crap bowling attacks.
Melbourne...England falter as doubts begin to creep in, Australia win on greentop. Previously cocky England feel stupid and go silent, team spirit reaches Zero.
Sydney...Smith bowls Australia to victory and he and entire team are hailed as heroes. Ponting charges around punching the air giving an "up yours" to anyone who justifiably criticized him.
Slowcoach added 0 Minutes and 59 Seconds later...
Or maybe it's my worst nightmare.