I just don't think you can drop a guy like Dravid. He has averaged 50+ since Nov 2009 iirc.
I say Raina is the easiest to replace. He'll get eaten alive in SA, i'd play Chet.
From 1st Jan 2009 to 4th Nov 2010 (including the current match), Dravid's stats read:
14 Matches, 24 innings, 1198 runs, 4 100s, 6 50s, Average of 57.04 and a HS of 177. His SR is higher than is career SR too, 47.9 to 42.4
Pretty good.
However, I think the telling stats are that in 4 innings against Australia, he scored 112 runs at an average of 37.33 and a HS of 77 (his only 50).
In 14 innings away from the batsmen-friendly pitches of India, he averages 45.66 with a HS of 111* (This includes Bangladesh, NZ and Sri Lanka. He actually did quite well in NZ, averaging 62.8, but averaged 19 in SL. So make of that what you want
)
Also, in 8 matches since the start of 2010, he averages 37.58 in 14 innings.
Batting records | Test matches | Cricinfo Statsguru | Cricinfo.com
It's safe to say that he is in a bit of a form decline. Now would have been the ideal time to drop him.
Although yes, it's a tough call. I have a feeling the selectors wanted Dravid to have the tour to RSA and tour to England as his final hurrah, probably cause they feel Pujara/Kohli/Vijay wouldn't be up to the task just yet and both tournaments are extremely difficult and a test of whether India should retain their number 1 spot or not. We might see Dravid leave after the tour to England...
ZoraxDoom added 14 Minutes and 16 Seconds later...
Just wondering if anyone else shares the point of view that South Africa now produces the best fast bowling talent (as opposed to Pakistan)
Always had a facination with Pakistani fast bowlers as they produce gems like Aamer but SA has so many new guns from Parnell, to Tsotsobe to Theron. I'm struggling to come up with the name of another Pakistani youngster who is in the same league as Aamer.
So I guess my question is, which country out of the two do you think will produce better fast bowlers in the next decade. Pakistan historically pull out gems but SA is slowly becoming the only place in the world conducive for breeding genuine fast bowlers. Even conditions in England and Aus are getting lower and slower but SA pitches are staying relatively quick and bouncy.
Tsotsobe is 26 years old. So setting that as an age cut-off...
Pakistan's current pace stocks: Aamer, Wahab Riaz, Mohammed Irfan, Umar Gul
South Africa: Tsotsobe, Parnell, Theron, Morne Morkel
Problem is, Pakistan produces talent, but South Africa seems to nurture their talent a lot better. They've always produced very good fast bowlers, it's just that Pakistan hit the lottery with geniuses like Imran, Wasim, Waqar.
Even now though, Pakistan do have a very impressive lineup of quicks. Apart from the above, they have Asif and Akthar is still kicking about, with guys like Naved Ul Hasan, Sami, Razzaq, Shabbir Ahmed on the benches.
Having said that, South Africa have Dale Steyn, with Langaveldt, Albie Morkel, Kallis, Ryan McLaren, Yusuf Abdullah, Rory Kleinveldt and even 2-test wonder Friedel de Wet.
What India would do for half that pace bowling talent..