NZ would probably be the more likely since SL are better players of spin although their pace bowlers have been doing well in the warm ups. They also have Andy Blignaut sitting in the wings.
It all depends on how New Zealand manage Murali and Mendis. We have batsmen that are great at facing the quicks, but I'm worried we won't be able to handle the spinners, especially on wickets favouring them
Taylor will get initially bogged down by the spinners, and then try to hit them. If he manages to hit them we will win, if he fails we will lose. This always seems to happen.
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