Personally I think Pakistan are very unlucky to have this freak record in India in the WCs. Its just one of those freak stats, and in and around the same period as the WCs Pakistan have won matches against India in other competitions. Just that they haven't in a WC and its a freak record.
As for this one, I think I would put India as favs, largely as they have been in Aus for so long. However in Md. Irfan they have a tall fast bowler who can really trouble India early on.
It would be hard to win for India, but I would give India the edge right now.