Swapping Panesar for Finn really isn't weakening the batting too much.
And Anderson and Broad have both shown to be capable of reverse swing. If the pitch has nothing in it for the seamers, then I doubt Finn would make much of a difference anyways. Better off sticking with Panesar and seeing if he works.
And your examples are a bit contradictory. You say they didn't work, yet in both instances having 2 spinners proved very effective in the second innings. 5/47 between them against WI in 40.5 overs, and 6/155 in 64 overs against BD. Not the greatest strike rates, sure, but it's hard to say 3 seamers + Swann would have gone any better. And, as you said, the pitches were flat at first and then started to take turn. All the bowlers were poor in the first innings, can't use that as proof to show that they should have stuck with 3 seamers and Swann. For all you know it could have gone even worse if they did.
ZoraxDoom added 1 Minutes and 26 Seconds later...
Oh, and like I said, several reports say Panesar bowled well, bowled better than he used to. Why should those who didn't see the game take your word over all the other reports? How can you show us that Panesar hasn't changed? Just stating it doesn't make you right.
Swaping Panesr for Finn certainly does weakening the batting. Since ENG would drop a batsman to accomodate 5 bowlers.
England would never play a 4-man attack of Anderson/Braod/Swann/Panesar because of the deficiences of the Anderson & Braod bowling on flat pitches. None of them are very good bowlers on flat wickets & none of them can reverse-swing the ball with to any degree (compared to a new-ball attack as i said before of Steyn/Morkel, McGrath/Gillespie, Donald/Pollock, Ambrose/Walsh in which a team can risk playing a simple 4-man attack with two spinners). I dont know what you have been watching if you are seriously are going to tell me - that Anderson & Braod can reverse swing the ball. Thats madness, neither of them have ever shown the ability to reverse swing the ball (duke, SG or kookubura) over a sustained period in their respective test careers to date.
As those two test in Port of Spain 2009 & in Bangladesh clearly showed. Without Flintoff in the attack as an all-rounder to aid in balancing things out. If ENG want to play 2 spinner they would have to weaken their top 6 & bat Braod @ 7 in order to have a 5-man attack. The fact that they did it in Bangladesh of all places pretty much proves that they would never try such a tactic in AUS, especially given ENG top 6 isn't exactly super strong. Its a terrible tactic.
Finally on Panesar i'm not even the only one in this thread who said Panesar hasn't changed. So it has nothing to do with taking my word for it, since other people have come to same conclusion as me:
http://www.planetcricket.org/forums/1992214-post176.html
quote said:
I see War's point, in a sense. He doesn't seem to be spinning the ball like he used to. I know the pitch wasn't that helpful, but I would have expected him to grip a few.
http://www.planetcricket.org/forums/1992257-post181.html
quote said:
I thought Monty bowled well but he bowled the same ol Monty style. Flat and fast and if he is hit for a boundary, then flatter and faster for the next few deliveries..
So thats good enough for me. I disagree with anyone esle who saw otherwise in Panesar's bowling (you yourself said you didnt even see the game) in the A team game.
War added 17 Minutes and 33 Seconds later...
I don't see how War can say Monty bowled poorly. Yes there hasn't been much in the way of obvious changes/improvement but he varied his pace a bit, was accurate and took a few wickets on what wasn't even close to be a spinners track.
As i have said & others have said in this thread. It was the same old Monty that was struggling between IND 2007 - AUS 2009.
And War 4 seamers just isn't going to work, especially if its a flat pitch as its just going to ground the bowlers into the ground. Its a pretty basic cricketing principle that you have a bowler who can keep reeling off overs, keeping it tight and thus creating pressure at the other end all while allowing other bowlers to be rested. You also said that England should use Colly/KP in said situation to allow the bowlers to breathe a bit which would just end up with Australia getting all the momentum as they are whacked around; something that Monty will not be.
I refer you to the England attack of the 2005 Ashes where Giles played despite his very average figures he performed a very decent job for England keeping it tight (bar the first game) and allowing Jones, Harmison, Flintoff and to a lesser extent Hoggard (mainly because he was pretty awful with an older ball) to rotate
4 seamers of a certain quality will can certainy work even on flat pitch once they all have the ability the revese swing the old ball. I.e windies 4-man attack of the 70s n 80s, ENG 05 Ashes quartet etc
If the 4th innings of test match your spinner is just keeping it tight & not proving to be a wicket-taking threat. As was recently shown in the Pakistan vs South Africa series of the 1st test AUS vs IND (when Hauritz was smashed around). The spinner is usless because those are the conditions where he is supposed to step up & bowl out teams. If he is not doing that, the captain will have to bring back the quick men anyway & bowl them into the ground since, the spinner wouldn't be doing his job.
Of course an ENG 4-man pace attack of Anderson/Broad/Finn or Tremlett/Shazad. Is no where near past great 4-man attacks. But in the event of Swann getting injured, picking Shazad is the best tactical replacement since he can reverse the old ball & IMO he will be a far more likely wicket-taking threat than Panesar in a 4-man attack. Who (Panesar) based on recent evidence willl not be a wicket-taking threat on a turner nor will be able to tie AUS batsmen down, he will be hit off his lenght.
The difference between the Ashes 05 attack to now was the presence of Flintoff, who enabled us the play 5 bowlers. If we never had Flintoff, ENG & Fletcher may have considered playing 4 quicks fairly regularly.
But Giles was also a far more accomplised spinner than Panesar ever was on turning pitches shown by his record in the sub-continent & various turining tracks around the world (although Giles didn't spin out AUS on the 4th day @ OT 2005). So i'd be far more comfortable if Giles played in 4-man attack, since he has a record for one to trust he can be do a job in such a role. Although i still would consider playing an all-pace attack, since Giles always worked best in a 5-man attack.