It's difficult to know what England will look like exactly. Pope's injury allowed England to pick five bowlers which gave them the balance that they needed to play to their strength. If Stokes' can bowl then I can't see that top 7 that started the series being disrupted unless a player has their form fall off a cliff.
The use of Mo as almost a sacrificial number three was deeply interesting to me, and I think it was quite revealing that when he crocked himself it was Stokes who took on the number three job, not Brook. For all the talk of "Brooky can bat anywhere from 1 to 6" it looks like they've decided he's not going higher than five. (This is correct by the way, he needs to be Stokes' successor as a situation player.)
I don't think Stokes' knee has two more years of cricket to give, though, which is why I didn't pick him.
Jonny with the gloves? Common sense would suggest Foakes comes back in for India but I could equally see them sticking with Bairstow. I can certainly see a younger keeper overtaking Foakes (despite him being in his prime). James Rew in prime position to do that after this season possibly Phil Salt, Jordan Cox or Jamie Smith (Foakes understudy, which could be typical of Foakes' England career).
I think James Rew and Jamie Smith should be the two players lined up as successors to Ben Foakes. I've not seen enough of either's glovework to pass judgement on them, but on a purely batting front Smith reinvented his game based on Bazball ideas almost immediately, where Rew appears to be a much cooler, steadier batter. We've already seen which of those England like to pick, so my Rew selection last night was almost certainly wrong.
So I could see England in the same quandary over the next couple of years; a top seven they want to play but needing to make a tough decision, I think they made that by dropping Foakes but I don't think it's a resolved.
I'd would love to see a Woakes renaissance and maybe Stokes and McCullum think, in spite of his away record, they can get more from him away from home? I think it's more likely the next two years is trying to shape a pace attack that can win in Australia. Woakes was player of the season in 2020 and didn't play for 12 months. I look forward to see him turning up in the last test of next summer.
I will not be happy until we get Stokes-Foakes-Woakes.
Pace Bowlers; if they're fit: Mark Wood, Ollie Robinson, Jofra Archer, Gus Atkinson, John Turner, Saqib Mahmood, Jamie Overton, Brydon Carse and Josh Tongue. All high 80s (except Robinson), Overton and Carse can both bat a bit too so could see them at 8.
Yeah, there's a really good battery out there. My XI was very much picked with a nod to who I expect to be injured. I think England have started to realise they need batting down to 8, which is why I've gone for Woakes, but your suggestion of Jacks or Ahmed doubling it up with the spinner's role also makes depressing sense.
43 year old James Anderson in Australia?
Don't threaten me with a good time! Realistically though I expect him to bow out next summer.
Outsiders Chris Woakes, Matt Potts, Craig Overton, Sam Curran (particularly if they are looking at a top seven all rounder).
It's really quite odd how Curran has fallen out of favour. But once Stokes' body cries "enough", I wouldn't be surprised if one of SCurran or Jacks becomes a long-term number seven and Bairstow keeps the gloves. It would allow a five-man attack that doesn't include Stokes.
Spinners, I think the India tour could determine where we are headed. Will Jacks and Rehan are potential top seven batters that could put them ahead of Leach.
I don't hugely see this happening: Leach really did become a better player out of the side this summer, and it was really evident that without him they couldn't really manage the bowlers' workloads. They need someone who can bowl his boring overs, and neither Jacks nor Ahmed nor Livingstone is that player.