I'd like to see Rashid come in if Freddie's not fit, but he won't. It'll be Shah coming in at 3, with Colly at 5 and Bell at 6. Could be good for Bell. His best cricket always comes further down the order, his best spell of Test cricket came against Pakistan where he made 3 hundreds in a series batting at 6. I still think we should drop Collingwood for Shah, I firmly believe that we've got a heck of a talent in Ian Bell, and although he cops alot of slack he does average 41 in Test cricket with 8 hundreds, and his home record is even better than that, averaging 45 with 6 of his hundreds coming at home. He has to play in The Ashes if you ask me, you can't possibly drop a man that averages 45 in England.
Another little stat regarding Bell, and possibly one that could be used to reaffirm the 'Bottler' tag that's been stamped on him. In England's first innings he averages 65.19 in England, with all of his hundreds coming in the 1st innings, yet in England's 2nd innings he averages 17 with a top score of 67. That's a pretty amazing stat really. Phenomenal record in the first innings though, it must be a mental thing, if he can get his run scoring in he 2nd innings sorted he'll be one heck of a player. To average 65 in England from 26 Tests is bloody impressive.