Some good points.
While India have been in good form, it is important to remember Australia haven't lost a home series in almost 15 years. The 2005 Ashes was their only lost series in the last five years. I know, Warne and McGrath have been integral to that form, but in times without, Australia have still managed a draw.
I agree that MacGill will face a mean challenge against India, but on the other side of the coin is Kumble, who hasn't been in the best form (bowling form, at least) and shouldn't find much assistance from Australian pitches for his style. I do not think either side possesses an advantage, unless a pitch calls for a second spinner, a situation in which there is much potential.
Surely Lee isn't the only threat. I'd remind you that Stuart Clark has 47 wickets at an average of 17.81 and if Lee looks threatening, then Clark must already have eaten someone.
While we're discussing bowlers, how certain are you that India's pace threatens Australia? If the batting is considered equal, having just one threatening bowler is going to beat having none. Zaheer Khan is most certainly a key. He hasn't in past been his strongest against Australia and so it remains to be seen if he can carry his form. Australia isn't an easy place to practice swing bowling so all of India's prospects should consider work hard on 'plan B'.
Mind you just as we are looking at players like Clark with 9 Tests, Bracken with 5, to Sreesanth with 11 and RP Singh with 7, the burden is on both sets of selectors to make the right choices with so little data. This is what I meant in my earlier post about organisation. After a single bad match, selectors might be tempted to drop a player, but they might stick with him. Either could be a mistake and as you said, it stands to be closer than a lot of people realise.
As the numbers stand...
Hayden
Jaques (Rogers will need to show some big form early in the season)
Ponting
Clarke
Hussey
Symonds (other contenders here don't seem to be offering enough)
Gilchrist
Lee
Johnson (selectors' favourite, although Bracken and Tait should be in front)
Clark
MacGill (selectors' whipping boy, I wouldn't be surprised if they omit him for an extra paceman)
Kumble prefers bounce so in australia he would get more assistance than england and indi amay play piyush chawla
I agree clark is a bigger threat than lee .Johnson is better than bracken for tests.
Zaheer if you remember in the first test he played in australia played a crucial part in drawing the first test he broke the australian middle order in brisbane.do not see his record in india any bowler who bowls in india is going to get hammered on those flat pitches.outside india he is a match winner against any team.
also sreesanth,munaf patel,ishant sharma,r.p if they get picked are tall blokes who can extract good bounce at sharp pace so
Australia 1st innings R M B 4 6
JL Langer lbw b Agarkar 121 325 194 17 0
ML Hayden c Laxman b Khan 37 81 52 6 0
RT Ponting c Patel b Khan 54 125 88 7 1
DR Martyn run out (Harbhajan Singh/Patel/Ganguly) 42 122 79 5 0
*SR Waugh hit wicket b Khan 0 9 4 0 0
SM Katich c Patel b Khan 16 41 25 4 0
+AC Gilchrist c Laxman b Khan 0 7 4 0 0
AJ Bichel c Laxman b Agarkar 11 16 10 2 0
JN Gillespie run out (Harbhajan Singh/Agarkar) 8 19 11 0 0
NW Bracken not out 6 18 13 0 0
SCG MacGill c Chopra b Agarkar 1 11 3 0 0
Extras (b 4, lb 7, w 2, nb 14) 27
Total (all out, 78.1 overs, 391 mins) 323
FoW: 1-73 (Hayden, 15.2 ov), 2-162 (Ponting, 41.4 ov),
3-268 (Langer, 66.4 ov), 4-275 (Martyn, 67.2 ov),
5-275 (Waugh, 67.4 ov), 6-276 (Gilchrist, 69.1 ov),
7-302 (Bichel, 72.3 ov), 8-310 (Katich, 75.2 ov),
9-317 (Gillespie, 76.1 ov), 10-323 (MacGill, 78.1 ov).
Bowling O M R W
Khan 23 2 95 5 (12nb)
Nehra 15 4 51 0 (2nb)
Agarkar 25.1 5 90 3 (2w)
Harbhajan Singh 14 1 68 0
Ganguly 1 0 8 0