Hopefully this isn't premature, but having gone over the possibilities, and the fact almost everyone is heading down the wrong track, I feel my information for today and tonight will put us in a very good position, though not perfect. And yeah I'm sacrificing myself again, something which seems foreign everyone else.
I am the Jailkeeper. I both protect AND block my target's action. Because of this, results can't always be certain, however I took measures to make sure I was confident in what my result meant.
Ending Day 1, my main suspicions rested on barmyarmy and Hedger (as I posted before the close), but also Puddleduck, whom I avoided accusing so I didn't look a raving lunatic again and also to help protect myself from him.
Of these 3 people, the main scum to me was Hedger, and if you reread the thread, specifically mine and Hedger's banter, you will see my reasons. He was also the least likely person of these 3 that the mafia would kill, since he had suspicion cast on him from myself, Sim and PD before the close of day. Mafia is going to want to keep such a person around.
I gave a greater chance of barmy and PD being town, so targeting them and getting the blocked result would leave me undecided. Also, if barmy is town, I thought he was a decent chance of being killed for experience reasons and my suspicion would no longer be on him.
So, my target was Hedger and if the kill was blocked, there would be no doubt in my mind that he's mafia. Lo and behold, the kill was blocked. From the write-up, "Someone's popular... only one had the
correct effect". My belief is that Hedger was targeted by both the cop and myself, however the cop's result was incorrect because Hedger is the Godfather.
What happens now? Cop should definitely not claim, to leave the mafia guessing. We lynch Hedger and tonight I will most likely target Puddleduck and if the kill is not blocked, he's clean. The cop will do a search on someone other than PD and confirm them as town/mafia.
The mafia have 3 options:
1. Don't kill anyone - Gives us a free cop search and I can still target PD the following night.
2. Kill me - The cop gets a result, and we know PD is clean because the kill wouldn't have succeeded with me targetting.
3. Kill cop - This would probably be the best move imo, which is why he shouldn't claim and leave them guessing. If the kill succeeds on the cop, PD is clean and I get to target another person the following night.
Now if there's a third party, I could be really screwed, but I feel we won't get anywhere today if I don't clear up what I know.
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Sorry, I meant to bold certain names and stuff and forgot
Can I edit?
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I see you're the first to come along and see this revelation Hedge.. Not so clever now are we?