angryangy
ICC Chairman
- Joined
- Oct 1, 2004
They are not the best players of spin, are they? People argue that Murali gets cheap wickets against Bangladesh and Zimbabwe and that's why he is going to cross Warnie's records. How about the fact that Murali has only played 13 tests against England compared to Warne's 36 in roughly the same career span? Murali's average against England is also better than Warne's though his strike rate is marginally worse. One can go as far as to say that if Muralitharan played 5 test-match series' against England every 2 years, he would have had considerably more wickets than Warne at this stage.
What is the point you're making? Are you saying that Warne's wickets against England are worth as much as Murali's wickets against Bangladesh and Zimbabwe? That's an incredulous argument to defend.
Consider Kumble, Vettori and Kaneria. All competitive spinners, none have exceptional averages against England. Vettori has 26 wickets each against England and Bangladesh; his England wickets averaging 36, his Bangladesh wickets averaging 14. Kaneria has 34 wickets @ 16 against Bangladesh and 28 @ 45 against England. Kumble averages an acceptable 30 against England, but over 40 in England.
Consensus would hold that England are not the best team against spin bowling, however, it is clear that they are far from the worst. Zimbabwe's batsmen, for example, were even bamboozled by the part-time chinamen of Simon Katich.
We can magically add a number of Ashes tours to Murali's record, but doesn't that mean we remove a few? If we don't, we are proving nothing. His matches vs Bangladesh, Zimbabwe and England total to 36. A straight swap means 256 wickets replaced by Warne's 195.
On the other hand, we could extrapolate the data. Murali has bowled 915 overs against England in 13 matches, about 70 per match. Spin that through the time machine and that is 15,200 balls after 36 matches, divide by the strike rate and you find 257 wickets, more than Warne, but only just covering the wickets we took away. In fact, if Murali bowled 15,200 balls against Bangladesh he might have more than 500 wickets against them.
For a start, that does suggest Murali would not have 'considerably more wickets', but what is it proving?
It is ignoring Australian conditions, which are often regarded as the most unkind to spin bowling and also where Murali has found harshest opposition. Also, if you look at Warne's record of 1793 overs against England, you realise he only bowled about 50 overs a match against England, hence why he would take 60 less wickets with a better strike-rate.
All something like this proves is how much Murali is worth to Sri Lanka. We can not prove that Murali would be a success in Australia any more than we can prove Warne would be a success against Bangladesh and Zimbabwe.
However, 163 wickets at 14.57 against the two least competitive test teams is not something that can be argued against. There remains a distinct gap between these teams and the rest, even if they do occasionally play well. No, it is not Muralidaran's fault, but if he took all of his wickets against them, how could you compare him to bowlers who never played against them?