If you're wondering why so many teams have more subtractions than additions, it's because players signed to replacement contracts last year and elevated to full ones this year (e.g. Ryan Gibson and Tim David) don't count as additions in my book.
Adelaide Strikers
Key Additions: Fawad Ahmed,
George Garton
Key Subtractions: Michael Neser, Cam Valente,
Phil Salt,
Danny Briggs
Thoughts: Adelaide are almost certain to sign a couple of replacement players with Head and Carey away at the Ashes - unlike every other club though, those transactions are not currently complete. More important to their chances, though, is that they've lost Michael Neser and Cameron Valente. While Neser is also at the Ashes for now, Valente is the man they turned to last season to back him up. They'll need a lot from import George Garton and youngsters Spencer Johnson and Liam Scott to fill the void. Also worth mentioning: Strikers are the only team to sign 16 local players and just 2 overseas. One of those is Rashid Khan, mind...
How to improve from last year: The middle order. Carey and Weatherald were good up top if a bit unlucky at times, but below them, Head was away for much of the season and Renshaw and Wells didn't fire at all.
Prediction: 8th. This feels extremely harsh and probably wrong, but barring another Renegades:tm: moment, their squad just looks slightly weaker than everyone else's on paper.
Brisbane Heat
Key Additions: Michael Neser, Nathan McSweeney,
Tom Abell,
Ben Duckett
Key Subtractions: Joe Burns, Ben Laughlin, Morne Morkel,
Lewis Gregory,
Dan Lawrence
Thoughts: Why didn't we resign Ben Laughlin?
How to improve from last year: Consistency. The Heat were good last year, but they played terribly in some games. I think this is mostly resolved already by hiring Jimmy Peirson as captain; while Chris Lynn's a good player, plans under him seemed to involve batting with 11 Chris Lynns.
Prediction: 5th. Heat will be more consistent this year, but losing Burns and Laughlin and the issue of squad depth may be problematic. I reckon it'll be the exact same run as last year.
Hobart Hurricanes
Key Additions: Joel Paris,
Harry Brook,
Jordan Thompson
Key Subtractions: David Moody, James Faulkner, Johan Botha,
Dawid Malan
Thoughts: Another puzzling decision not to resign Faulkner, but Hobart look stronger than last year for the mere thought of having a Wade-Short-McDermott 1-2-3 available all season long.
How to improve from last year: Support Short. Without Wade, Ben McDermott was often the only valuable runs to go alongside Short until Tim David came in late in the innings. Peter Handscomb will be important for this. Also with the ball, Short had to do a surprisingly high amount of heavy lifting.
Prediciton: 3rd. Devastating top three and one of the strongest attacks on paper means the Hurricanes should make up for last year's last day disappointment.
Melbourne Renegades
Key Additions: Nic Maddinson, Jon Merlo, James Seymour,
Unmukt Chand,
Zahir Khan,
Reece Topley
Key Subtractions: Peter Hatzoglou, Beau Webster,
Rilee Rossouw,
like seven players who made up the third slot
Thoughts: All three domestic additions have crossed the Melbourne divide! Spicy rivalries outside, the new OS players and the addition of Maddinson (and Cam Boyce, who returns after sitting out BBL10 due to the pandemic) will definitely strengthen this squad.
How to improve from last year: It's Already Been Done. And by that I mean, have Finch fix his vision issues which were apparently the cause of his bad form, and get some experience into the young players (aka what they did for the second half of last season)
Prediction: 6th. I'm not sure the youth is there yet, but they should finish around even in wins and losses.
Melbourne Stars
Key Additions: Beau Webster, Joe Burns, Peter Nevill,
Qais Ahmad,
Joe Clarke,
Syed Faridoun
Key Subtractions: Jack Coleman, Lance Morris, Will Pucovski, Billy Stanlake,
Andre Fletcher,
Zahir Khan,
Nick Pooran
Thoughts: I'm not convinced that Stanlake isn't a misprint
edit: it is according to SuperCoach. Otherwise, looks like some strong additions. NMA will need to tell you about Faridoun as I've never heard of him, but the other two OS players are extremely talented, as is Webster and Burns (Webster again crossing the divide in Melbourne).
How to improve from last year: Get more from the OS players. Sure Pooran was good, but Zahir was average, Fletcher bad in every game except for one, and Dilbar Hussain dire. They need more out of Qais, Clarke and Faridoun to compete this year.
Prediction: 4th. A strong squad. Will still probably choke in finals, it is the Stars after all
Perth Scorchers
Key Additions: Peter Hatzoglou,
Laurie Evans,
Tymal Mills
Key Subtractions: Sam Whiteman, Fawad Ahmed, Cam Gannon,
Jason Roy,
Liam Livingstone
Thoughts: A full compliment of available players, except Jhye Richardson, will give Perth a big boost. Tymal Mills will also prefer Perth compared to the prior places he's been in Brisbane and Hobart.
How to improve from last year: Win the final
Prediction: 1st. They've squad on paper is slightly weaker, but more importantly, a lot of key players who were unavailable for stretches of last year will be this year. Watch for a big season from Perth.
Sydney Sixers
Key Additions: Jack Bird,
Chris Jordan
Key Subtractions: Gurinder Sandhu
Thoughts: The Sixers have won two in a row and saw no need to change. Only swapping Bird for Sandhu, and then adding Chris Jordan as an overseas replacement player.
How to improve from last year: You can't
Prediction: 2nd. Perth may pip them but Sydney still have one of the strongest squads of all.
Sydney Thunder
Key Additions: Sam Whiteman, Gurinder Sandhu,
Saqib mahmood
Key Subtractions: Cal Ferguson,
Adam Milne
Thoughts: A quiet offseason for the Thunder, but they have brought back key contributors from last year's team that finished third. Except, oddly, Cal Ferguson
How to improve from last year: Improve the attack. Having to trot out Nathan McAndrew for most of the season is rarely a good thing
Prediction: 7th. This feels a bit out of their hands - they're losing Ferguson and Milne, but also Khawaja is with Australia and Davies is injured. Tough cheese for the batting order