The game is evenly poised. I feel that England lost Collingwood just at the wrong time. Despite that, Shah is looking in fine touch as he has demonstrated with the late cuts and playing very well square of the wicket. Prior's role is to rotate the strike by getting bat on ball. With Flintoff also in the ranks, i feel that England can reach the required run rate of 7.70 runs per over.
India will have to apportion the remaining ten overs cleverly. R P Singh was fantastic up-front and may be able to make the ball tail back in to the right-handers. Zaheer would also be a valuable asset for the death overs, and with Pathan having two overs remaining, that takes the tally to six overs. Harbhajan has been expensive and despite taking the crucial wicket of Luke Wright, the other batsman have "milked him" and played him with relative ease. I feel that the strategy he should adopt should be fast darts, as Shah will enjoy anything pitched up.
To conclude, i feel Powar should be given the ball for the 41st over, and take a gamble to toss the ball up to Matt Prior. From the 41st over, it should be a rotation of Irfan, Zaheer and RP Singh to close the innings.