Do you think AB will keep the wickets ? I wouldn't risk it so early in the tournament. We need good start and if we lose AB even for couple of games, it's slippery slope then onwards. AB keeping wickets will bring lot of balance to the team but I am not sure about that. I would love to see Paddikal in the playing XI, but then AB have to keep.
I am still not sure how to rate Dubey. He is a power hitter but not consistent at all. His bowling is below average for an All-Rounder. I would go with Sundar ahead of him and move Mann and Morris one up the order and Sundar coming afterwards. It's time Sundar proves his mantle.
Since the pitch is good for pace-bowling I would go with Umesh as well. Use Umesh in the PP and finish his quota before 12 over mark. Else Dube comes in for Umesh.
Paddikal / Parthiv (if AB doesn't keep)
Finch
Kohli
AB
Gurkeerat
Morris
Sundar
Umesh
Saini
Steyn
Chahal
Even I can predict that