angryangy
ICC Chairman
- Joined
- Oct 1, 2004
Remembering Marsh's poor stats from the BBL I had to look into this. Marsh has shown an ability to do a fair bit in 20 balls, but never at 2 runs per ball. Given even fewer deliveries, he'd almost certainly do nothing of note. His scores actually suggest that he would have done worse than Bailey in rotating the strike back to Hussey, who was the key player.This is the problem with having George Bailey in the team. He doesn't have the big hitting ability and because he's the captain it's not a good look for him to be batting at no. 7 behind Marsh and Christian.
If we had a Marsh of Christian in instead of Bailey, that 12 off 11 could easily be 22 off 11, giving us a total in the 180's instead of 170's. 10 runs makes a huge difference in T20's.
Christian definitely could make 22 from 11, but still with a high chance of failing. Like Marsh, his stats are a bit surprising. He averages 7 less than Bailey for 2 more runs per hundred balls. Knowing that he does produce substantial hard hitting, it's apparent that he has also produced a lot of momentum killing innings too.
If Hussey was in the shed, then Christian would become a useful risk, but with Hussey the set batsman, Bailey was the best option to support him. He actually tends to get off the mark quickly and in the past, he's even made some rapid scores. His high score of 60 came off 21 balls and he has an 18 ball 40.
I think it's interesting to look at players as varying shades of risk for a given target rather than this guy who slogs and this guy who doesn't, because ultimately they don't do the same thing every time. During the game I was expecting one of all-rounders to go in, but looking at numbers, it's harder to justify. It's one thing to bemoan a brief run-a-ball innings, but as India showed, you can get slower (and longer). You certainly don't want to be the captain who creates one of those situations for no reason.