All right so the following players are left.
Simon
Swirler
World Champions
Varun
Abhas
My general belief is that in terms of townies only Simon is pretty much 100% confirmed in my head. The way he has played he seems to have been making his own decisions and his own newbie mistakes, something you wouldn't see unless his partner was WC (which looks impossible now).
It's looking more and more likely that WC is actually Mafia so he should probably be lynched off today or tomorrow. With the write-up I'm not 100% sure there is an SK any more but if there was, I really doubt Colin would choose him to be the SK.
While RPHKR was very dodgy to me, Abhas has been playing very well and seems town to me IMO, though it is not confirmed to me since his claim is a bit of a scummy one and RPHKR's play was really poor. Still would be near the end of my list of people to lynch.
Varun made a solid claim but his play has never been completely solid this game. His claim could still very much be one made by a smart Mafia member too. The last "result" he got is an easy one to mention as ste has clearly died and he can seemingly verify himself to the town as a paranoid cop.
The last guy whom we still haven't heard from yet is swirler. We do remember how RPHKR seemed to have a case against him and while his gameplay was solid, it wasn't exactly flawless for me. He posted only twice in the whole of day 3, and take a look at what was in his final post...
I think these are all the claims + what we already know.
Simon - tracker
Varun - Cop/ Insane cop
Abhas - Ricky Ponting - Miller
Manly - Ian Botham - Town Drunk - Roleblocker
User2010 - Cop
Not sure who to believe out of Manly or Ste. Manly's claim seems to be pretty convenient, plus he's been going after the don, but suddenly goes after Ste and Simon. Simon you've left though.
Set has been all over the place, and talked about how his suspicions were just him being drunk one night, and it not working-out for him.
Simon's claim seems plausible + it fits in with the write-up
Varun's claim is the most interesting. If true one of Abhas & Callum appear to be mafia & the other miller. That or they are both town, which doesn't make sense because Abhas has claimed miller.
FOS: CG123, Manly, Ste
As the game goes on, it gets tougher and tougher for a Mafioso to keep posting as it is really easy for them to give something away. He was very active at the start when it was easy for him and wasn't at all on my radar. However when faced with suspicion he has never really fully defended himself if at all. Then you look at this post and he has FOSed all our killed townies which is quite scummy.
Good news is town has survived, what could have been a dangerous night. Looks like both killing roles might of targeted the same person, but were unsuccessful.
Really don't understand the write-up though. Can't seem to match any of the characters that I suspect are in the game, with whats written in the write-up.
Interested to see if Varun or the don know anything, given that they were possible targets last night.
This is his other post of day 3. Says very little and seems to just be dropping in so people are under the illusion that he is still very active.
What I think has happened is at the start he was playing a bit of a blinder but now he has fallen off a bit and the inconsistencies in his play yesterday seem quite obvious.
Another thing to look at is the thoughts of the dead. Manly was very suspicious of ste and WC. CG was suspicious of ste, Manly, WC and swirler. Ste seemed to have a theory.
Also keep in mind a mislynch means it is game over unless we have four townies or unless the Mafia actually kill the SK at night. So I think instead of hastily lynching WC, let's examine this from all angles.
However I think I've made my choice. Everyone in the game has been suspicious of WC so he's a prime target, though I'm not sure anyone other than Manly and maybe a couple of guys today were suspicious of him because they thought he was Mafia alone, I think the general oddities in his play are what makes him a big target. I'm not saying we shouldn't go after him, again I'm still not 100% sure about him but for now I think even if he is Mafia we should pick off his partner first then get him later.
For now though, I want to pursue this and am quite sure I'm right.
Lynch: swirler
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Really surprised to see that Ste is town, after Manly's role was proved to be right. I thought he must be a killing role.
Interesting that WC has suddenly become active, he has had a free ride most of this game; not sure whether he is actually interested in helping the town, or just suddenly becoming active to get the win.
Also suspicious of Varun, continues to be all over the place. Almost appears nervous like he's hiding something.
FOS: WC, Varun
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The write-up defiantly points out that there is a poisoner. Agree that the characters that are poisoned, seem to be delayed by one night.
Again seems like a bit of a post to pretend as if he is active but in the end he isn't really active.
I specifically mentioned the poisoner in the hope that he would try and confirm it as he was the one who brought it up, and to me it seems like he could be the SK who is trying to hide the fact that there is an SK.
For me this does it, and while a WC and swirler team is possible, I still feel Varun or Abhas could also be part of his team.
They both are related to Mafia networks, i can assure you.
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