All the talk and all the comparisons seem to come from the 2005 series, with people saying how much weaker England are, seemingly forgetting the last Ashes series in 06/07. The teams are notably different from that series, with Australia's much weaker, and England's side a heck of alot stronger. Here's a little comparison.
Australia were continually set a good platform and got off to a brilliant start by Matthew Hayden and Justin Langer, they've both retired, replaced by Simon Katich, who although has had a good 12 months, struggled big time in England, and the young gun Phillip Hughes, who although has alot of potential, is certainly not guaranteed to perform, and I doubt will outperform Hayden's efforts from 06/07, though I may be proven wrong. Scoring runs against 2nd Division bowling for a few months is certainly no indication of how he'll do in the series though.
Then the 2 big players in the middle order Ponting and Hussey who were in majestic form in 06/07 were a shadow of their former selves in the last 12 months, with Ponting averaging 39 and Hussey 31. They'll need to perform much better than that to give themselves a shot.
Then those 4 were supported by Symonds, Martyn and Clarke to start the series off, with 1 retired and the other may as well have retired. Then once Martyn's ship sailed half way through the series he was replaced by Australia's current inform batsman, Michael Clarke. There's no guarantee he'll perform in this series though, especially given his somewhat poor performance in the series in England in 2005, and also the struggles in the T20 WC in England.
Then they had the irreplacable Adam Gilchrist at 7, a man who has since been replaced by Brad Haddin, a man who is not in the same ballpark as Gilchrist, and although his form started to improve against South Africa, he still never really shone, bar 1 solitary innings against NZ.
Then we come to the bowlers which were led by the masters, Warne and McGrath. Both have retired, but we'll be seeing alot of one of them, unfortunately for Australia we'll be seeing him in the Commentary Box. They then had an in-form and massively impressive Stuart Clark, who in the last 12 months has massively struggled with injuries, and only managed 6 Tests in the year, a number surpassed by England's injury prone all-rounder Andrew Flintoff. Then Brett Lee finished off the attack, but he has also been struggling big time with an ankle injury, and his place is now massively in doubt.
Sure Mitchell Johnson has managed to fill the void somewhat, but the rest of the attack have either been more injury prone than our Fred, or are very much an unknown entity. There's certainly no threat of being spun out by a genius spin bowler, with Nathan Hauritz, Michael Clarke and Simon Katich looking set to provide the spin options. Hardly a spin attack to put shivers into the minds of the England side.
This compares with England, who are undeniably stronger than they were in Australia in 06/07. The side in 06/07 was carrying players who simply weren't good enough at the time, in the form of Ian Bell, Ashley Giles, Geraint Jones, Chris Read, James Anderson, Stephen Harmison and Sajid Mahmood. England also had problems with the form of Andrew Strauss who was in a terrible run of form, and Alastair Cook who's technique was ripped apart by Glenn McGrath and Stuart Clark. The side was carried by Pietersen, Collingwood, Flintoff and in the final couple of Tests, Monty Panesar.
We've now got an in form opening partnership, with both Strauss and Cook finding form, averaging 50 and 49 respectively in the last 12 months. Ravi Bopara has come into the side and flourished, scoring 3 Test centuries in 3 innings, a number that surpasses that of Ponting for the 12 month period. Kevin Pietersen and Paul Collingwood have continued their good form, averaging 57 and 53 in the period, and we've got a wicket-keeper that has looked at ease at the crease and has some serious batting talent in Matty Prior.
The bowling attack is also far stronger, with Anderson developing into a genuinely good Test bowler and one of the finest swing bowlers in the world. The young and immensely talented Stuart Broad, the leading Test match wicket taker in 2009 Graeme Swann, Andrew Flintoff and then the option of picking between a guy who's been tearing up the 1st Division of the CC in Graham Onions, the now fully fit Ryan Sidebottom and leg spin prospect Adil Rashid.
I can still see Australia sneaking a series win 2-1, but it's going to be a bloody close series, and certainly will not end in a 5-0 whitewash in favour of the Australian's. They're just not good enough to administer such punishment without the likes of Warne, McGrath, Hayden, and with key players like Ponting, Hussey and Clark in poor form. Unfortunately the gap in talent in that series means that even with Australia losing all that talent, they're still a top side, just one that gives the opposition a better chance of beating them. England definitely have a chance this time round, and if our players perform to the best of their abilities and play as well as they can throughout the series, then we'll have an excellent chance of winning it. Going to be a brilliant series, and is shaping up to be the most even series in a long time!