Australia tour of West Indies March-April 2011/12

[aussie1st]

Once again 3 down for not many but this time the run out was at fault rather than the top 3.

Looked ugly for Clarke but can't blame him for playing the shot, he was doing it all much just this time he didn't execute.

 

[angryangy]

Hard to see how there's going to be a result in this game barring sudden collapses.

Collapses can certainly happen, but the weather will still make it tight. Otherwise, Australia could easily get bowled out well behind and left to chase 300+.

In spite of the current lead, I actually feel a Windies win at this stage is made less likely by the need to use up overs. From here they'd have to steamroll the next 15 wickets as well as bat again. If Australia made two runs tomorrow and declared, the West Indies would still want to bat the lead past 300 and at their pleasure, probably a lot further; history suggests you need to set more than 400, with at least 80 overs to spare. However, the balance of overs favours either an aggressive declaration or aggressive batting, which is the sort of thing a side scratching for a win tends to fear. Assuming Australia survive for even 20 overs, the odds of a draw improve.

However, Australia aren't looking at the prospect of making any runs that the West Indies won't be able to make, so their win potential is more time-efficient. As above, if the Windies give them 300, they'll probably have a legitimate chance of winning. They'll also have a chance if they knock the opposition over cheaply in the third.

 

[Koulkoudakis]

Good start to the morning for the West Indies. Sammy can now work his magical inswingers to the tail.

Another falls. They've held on to everything so far.

 

[StinkyBoHoon]

but the rate of scoring must give windies a bit of an edge, it's a slow pitch and even being in is proving no guarantee that you'll make a big score.

the majority of the batsmen have crawled and I think if australia are in the position of having to survive a day with a target of 300 for a safe draw it would take a bold move by any of them, even warner, to come out and give the bowlers chances by attacking here.

the key is that in their 2nd innings the windies have to watch their maths, 400 looks chaseable on this pitch but only if the team has 150 overs to get it.

I think going into the last day with a health 250 lead on the board would be enough to put australia in a bit of a dilema on how to approach it, which might be the key to them giving wickets away. I remember NZ forcing a win against england in exactly this way a few years ago. slow pitch, wickets hard to come by, they gave england all day 5 to get 300 and england fell apart not knowing wether some intent was needed, or if they should block everything out.

 

[Adarsh]

From the West Indies perspective, they have nothing to lose here. Drawing or losing against Australia makes no big difference, they're so used to this by now over the years. However, a win against Australia would be HUGE. Absolutely HUGE. So they have to be aggressive.

 

[midgetwars]

Siddle: We all expected a guaranteed 30 from ya.
Wade's spot must be in danger now, Nevill's in the wing.

 

[Aalay]

Wade's spot must be in danger now, Nevill's in the wing.

That was his first tweaking match. How can you drop him by just looking at his first inning performance?


WI are making some real progress here. They need to score at quick run rate though in second innings if they want to win this.

 

[Dare]

Pleased to see that they got Hussey and Wade out early but how the hell did they let Harris get 40 runs.

 

[Sedition]

It's the age-old strategy of bowl a good length to the batsmen, have success, then drop it short for the tail enders.

 

[WestIndian]

Pleased to see that they got Hussey and Wade out early but how the hell did they let Harris get 40 runs.

LOL the same way they allowed Sammy to get 41 I guess. I thought Bishoo would have done more on this wicket.

 

[StinkyBoHoon]

harris is making a draw ever more likely, the windies would have liked a comfortable lead of 250 and then looked to hit out the last session leaving australia wondering when a decleration will come, they'll probably need the bulk of the day before they'll have enough and they'll certainly need most of tomorrow to have a crack at getting 10 wickets.

 

[WestIndian]

harris is making a draw ever more likely, the windies would have liked a comfortable lead of 250 and then looked to hit out the last session leaving australia wondering when a decleration will come, they'll probably need the bulk of the day before they'll have enough and they'll certainly need most of tomorrow to have a crack at getting 10 wickets.

This will play out to a draw, I don't see WIndies losing 10 wickets to give the Aussies a chance to chase and win. Both of these guys are posting their highest scores and partnership going at a good RR, even better than the overall RR.

 

[Aalay]

Harris is playing on 66

 

[Sedition]

Good thing we still had that referral up our sleeves at 9 down. Harris and Watson to open next innings, they're both big guys, should run at about the same speed.

 

[barmyarmy]

It's a great last wicket stand. They were 250/7 and now look like they might get 450.