When KP shows up and plays like that England can beat any side. He's just a great player. We need to get him early. It's like England with McCullum. Chances are if McCullum gets a hundred it'll be all over, so England need him early. You make a good point and it's kinda what i've been basing my thoughts on. While it seems maybe arrogant, we should win. If you look at the sides on paper, we have more world class performers and a higher ranking. With Oram out, as i've been saying, it evens thing out a bit and the teams come closer together.
No you don't. We have far, far more world class talent through the entirity of our team. If you compare the teams:
England:
Bell, Wright,
Pietersen, Bopara,
Collingwood, Shah, Ambrose, Swann,
Broad, Sidebottom and Anderson
New Zealand:
How, McCullum, Marshall,
Taylor, Styris, Flynn, Hopkins,
Vettori, Southee,
Mills, Mason.
England outnumber your World Class players by 7 to 5, with 7 to 6 with Oram in. You may be better than us in terms of world ranking, but that world ranking is built on the back of a decent team with the likes of Fleming, Cairns, Astle, Bond, etc. They're not there anymore, and the players that have replaced them are nothing players. Marshall is awful, Styris is passed it (used to be quality, but I don't rate him highly anymore), Flynn is still learning, Hopkins is nothing special, Southee has potential, and Mason isn't going to keep any international bating line-ups awake at night.
I also included Mills in the world class players list, as you included him, personally I think he's awful. Doesn't bowl particularly fast, action looks awkward, is wayward at times, bowls no balls, isn't a great death bowler. He's over-rated for my money.
England's extra players that i haven't included as "world-class" are far better than yours aswell, Wright's bowling is better than Styris's, Ambrose and Hopkins are fairly even, Swann's a quality spinner and batsman, Bopara has fantastic potential (200* in a recent OD game). The rest of the team are world class performers, albeit Anderson is abit inconsistent. There's no doubting that an attack of Anderson, Broad and Sidebottom is far better than Southee, Mason and Mills.
You've severely under-rated England. On paper we're a much stronger team, but we're just finding our feet in ODi's, and still learning with a new coach. I can see us winning this series 3-2, probably getting a 2 or 3 nil lead from the start, then when Oram comes back you'll improve, although 1 player won't massively improve upon that last performance, you have been awful in both the Twenty20 and first ODi.