Australia's 16 man touring party will be.
1. Katich
2. Hughes
3. Ponting
4. MHussey
5. Clarke
6. Watson
7. Haddin
8. Johnson
9. Lee
10. Hilfenhaus
11. Clark
the rest
12. Siddle
13. Hauritz
14. Marsh
15. North
16. Manou
Possibles
Bollinger
McDonald
Hodge
Symonds
Pretty close I'd say, but I'm getting the impression McDonald is gonna go and I'd bet Symonds old mate Ricky Ponting gets big Roy into that squad somewhere.
So from your list, Marsh won't go. Surely Rogers and Jaques deserve a spot more than him as a reserve opener. And one (maybe more?) of North, Watson, Symonds or McDonald won't be going. I'm guessing the selectors are picking between North/Watson to miss out. Unfortunately from my perspective, it should be Symonds/McDonald missing out...
As for reserve opener, Chris Rogers is gonna be in England playing county cricket and he may not be named in the squad but could be called up if Hughes/Katich has an issue.