Number crunching time!
With the robust discussions about Australia's batting quality of late, I've been through the first class batting stats for the last few summers in Australia to find who has done well, what trends might be emerging etc.
*I've categorised a season as "above average" if a batsman managed over 500 runs and a 40+ average.
*I've categorised a season as "good" if a batsman managed over 750 runs and a 50+ average.
I didn't bother to make an extra category above that, didn't see the need to separate the data any more. I can't see anyone in the Shield final that might change categories either. One final thing: it's first class numbers so it's not just Shield stats but will include Tests in Aus that summer and the odd match against a touring side.
*In the last 5 seasons there have been 21 'good' and another 43 'above average' seasons by batsmen.
*Compared to the 5 seasons before that? In 2003/04-2007/08 there were 39 'good' and another 58 'above average' seasons in those 5 summers. Already you can see a trend...
Note: the numbers are biased a bit by the 2003/04 season which had 15 'good' seasons by Aussie batsmen! Flat wickets that year? Or just good batting depth? Either way, even after taking out 2003/04 there were still approximately 50% more 'good' (and 'above average') seasons in 2004/05-2007/08 than there have been in the last 5 summers.
Going a bit deeper...here are the batsmen who have managed to have a 'good' summer in the last 5 seasons (750+ runs at 50+ average). 15 batsmen, 21 good summers.
3 PJ Hughes (2008/09-2009/10,2012/13)
2 MJ Clarke (2011/12-2012/13)
2 RT Ponting (2011/12-2012/13)
2 EJM Cowan (2009/10 & 2011/12)
2 M Klinger (2008/09-2009/10)
1 MEK Hussey (2012/13)
1 AJ Doolan (2012/13)
1 AC Voges (2011/12)
1 LM Davis (2011/12)
1 MJ Cosgrove (2010/11)
1 DJ Hussey (2009/10)
1 SPD Smith (2009/10)
1 BJ Hodge (2008/09)
1 CJL Rogers (2008/09)
1 ML Love (2008/09)
Particularly disappointing to me is that a mere 5 batsmen have had 2 or more 'good' summers in that time. Can we write off the guys with only one 'good' summer as flukes? You can certainly make the argument, especially if that's the only good year they've ever had.
Next list is for the batsmen who have managed 2 or more 'above average' seasons in the last 5 seasons (500+ runs at 40+ average). Note: these counts will include the 'good' seasons as well.
4 MJ Clarke (2008/09-2009/10, 2011/12-2012/13)
4 CJL Rogers (2008/09, 2009/10, 2011/12-2012/13)
3 MJ Cosgrove (2009/10-2010/11,2012/13)
3 MEK Hussey (2009/10-2010/11, 2012/13)
3 RT Ponting (2009/10, 2011/12-2012/13)
3 Usman Khawaja (2008/09-2010/11)
3 PJ Hughes (2008/09-2009/10, 2012/13)
3 M Klinger (2008/09-2009/10, 2011/12)
2 DA Warner (2011/12-2012/13)
2 RJ Quiney (2010/11-2011/12)
2 EJM Cowan (2009/10 & 2011/12)
2 GJ Bailey (2009/10 & 2011/12)
2 DJ Hussey (2008/09-2009/10)
2 MS Wade (2008/09-2009/10)
2 SM Katich (2008/09-2009/10)
Again, it's a disappointingly short list, considering 500 runs at 40 really isn't that special. You'd think more guys would have been able to do it twice in the last 5 years. Also disappointing is the ages of the guys on this list: 5 of these 15 guys are 35+ (Ponting, M.Hussey, Rogers, Katich, D.Hussey); another 5 are 30 somethings (Clarke, Klinger, Quiney, Cowan, Bailey). That leaves only 5 that still haven't hit 30 (Cosgrove, Khawaja, Hughes, Warner and Wade). I had theorised there would be a big talent hole between the 35+ group and the under 30s, but it seems there has been a general decline across all age groups
Make whatever conclusions you will! Just thought I'd share my findings...