I think Strauss is losing it as captain, he's chopped and changed the bowling about too much. Brought on the spinners, they both had tidy early overs, then he brings back seamers and then goes back to spinners, then goes.................
At this rate he'll have spinners bowling at the death, both Swann and Yardy have bowled tidily enough and when he brought Swann back he got the only wicket. Both are going at only around the 4rpo mark, Tremlett's going at 5.5rpo, Bresnan 6rpo and Shahzad 4.5rpo, so what does Strauss do? Bring on a part-timer in Trott....................
Those calling for collywobbles' exclusion have got their way, not necessarily on here but it was a popular cry on 606 (BBC), and he's a decent 6th bowler. The likes of Trott, Pietersen and Bell can all bowl, but not as well as collywobbles.
and what angryx2 said is pretty much it, England lost too many wickets early on (186/5) so didn't have the wickets nor lower order strength to make the necessary acceleration.
ENGLAND
10 overs : 70/0 (7.00 rpo)
20 overs : 129/2 (6.45 rpo)
30 overs : 174/3 (5.80 rpo)
40 overs : 236/6 (5.90 rpo)
50 overs : 294 (5.88 rpo)
England lost their 4th wicket (Bell) on 178/4 off the 1st ball of the 31st over, Morgan was the 5th wicket after 32.5 overs at 186/5 and when Yardy fell in the 40th over that left Bresnan, Swann, Shahzad and Tremlett to bat with Pietersen who fell in the powerplay/44th over at 257/7. As angryx2 said, England just progressed without any real acceleration for the last 30 overs.
AUSTRALIA
10 overs : 62/0 (6.20 rpo)
20 overs : 111/1 (5.55 rpo)
30 overs : 153/1 (5.10 rpo)
40 overs :
50 overs :
The aussies have slowed a little, but the rule of thumb of doubling a score after 20 overs puts them ahead of the game with wickets in hand. England may have been 21 runs better off after 30 overs, but the aussies have wickets in hand and unless they lose a clutch of wickets then they're now ahead
36 overs : Australia 195/1
36 overs : England 212/5
You'd trade off 17 runs for four wickets any time and every time, it's not as if England made a big acceleration at the end so unless a miracle happens the aussies will stroll this