Expert Cop Mafia 1 - Endgame Town win

[Haarithan]

Means I and user are definitely not naive while Smurf's definitely not paranoid, provided all of us are telling the truth.

Haari -> Normal/Paranoid/Insane (Adi as mafia)
User -> Normal/Paranoid/Insane (Smurf as mafia)
Smurf -> Normal/Naive/Insane (Abhas as town)

 

[barmyarmy]

This could be quite a good game timezone-wise. Shame Abhas isn't online right now.

 

[Papa_Smurf]

Also, do not post 'No Lynch'. We do not want the day to end, we want some analysis.

Not much to analyse. All we can do is like what Haari did above, and slowly eliminate the choices.

 

[barmyarmy]

Vote count

No lynch - 2 (Papa Smurf, Haarithan)

With 5 alive it takes 3 to lynch or end the day.

 

[Haarithan]

Yeah, but we don't want to give the majority to a 'no lynch' and as it stands, we're only one away from that. So,

Unlynch: No lynch

First time ever, something of this sort's happening?

 

[Aditya]

Investigated Smurf last night and got mafia aligned.

 

[Papa_Smurf]

If someone else no lynches, does the day automatically end?

 

[Gaurav_7]

That's what I meant, Smurf. Haari, I wouldn't be making predictions unless all 5 of us have posted their results. There are a lot of possibilities otherwise.

 

[barmyarmy]

It would have done at 3 but we're back down to 1 now.

 

[Haarithan]

@Smurf: Yeah. Though I've just unlynched 'no lynch'. So nothing to worry about for the time being.

Haari -> Normal/Paranoid/Insane (Adi as mafia)
User -> Normal/Paranoid/Insane (Smurf as mafia)
Smurf -> Normal/Naive/Insane (Abhas as town)
Aditya -> Normal/Paranoid/Insane (Smurf as mafia)

 

[Gaurav_7]

Yes, do not let the majority be reached. The day would end without anything otherwise. Let Abhas post his results, I'll get to my analysis then.

 

[Papa_Smurf]

Ohh, my mistake then.

Unlynch: no lynch

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Ok, so this what have we got:

User is either paranoid or insane, and whoever User is, the other one is Aditya. Unless one of them is mafia. They're definitely not the normal cop though.

Haari is definitely not naive. And I'm definitely not paranoid.

Papa - naive/normal
Haari - paranoid/normal
User - insane/paranoid
Aditya - isnane/paranoid
Abbas - ?

This based on that we're all telling the truth, and not counting the mafia (for now).

 

[Haarithan]

Very interesting now, if both User and Adi investigated Smurf and got 'mafia aligned', lets analyze the possibilities:

User -> Normal/Paranoid/Insane (Smurf as mafia)
Aditya -> Normal/Paranoid/Insane (Smurf as mafia)

Case 1: Smurf's town aligned:

1) If one's normal and the other's paranoid:

One's lying while the other's true.

2) If one's paranoid and the other's insane:

One's telling the truth while the other's also telling the truth.

3) If one's insane and the other's normal:

One's telling the truth while the other's lying.

Case 2: Smurf's mafia aligned:

1) If one's normal and the other's paranoid:

Both telling the truth.

2) If one's paranoid and the other's insane:

one's telling the truth while the other's lying.

3) If one's insane and the other's normal:

One's lying and the other's true.

Conclusion:

1. If Smurf's town aligned:

Both User and Adi cannot be normal cops! They're either paranoid/insane.

2. If Smurf's mafia aligned:

Both User and Adi cannot be insane cops! They're either normal/paranoid.

Bah, wait till I analyze more and arrive at one final conclusion.

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Next scenario:

I investigated Adi, and he came us mafia aligned:

Case 1: Adi's mafia => Smurf's town

If Smurf's town and Adi's mafia, then User's paranoid/insane. I'm then normal/paranoid.

Case 2: Adi's town and Smurf's town

User and Adi are one off paranoid/insane. I'm then insane.

Case 3: Adi's town and Smurf's mafia => User's town

User and Adi are respectively normal/paranoid. I'm then insane.

Abhas, need you night's result to proceed further.

 

[hedger_14]

Abhas, need you night's result to proceed further

proceed to further confusion?

 

[Haarithan]

Yea, probably.

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Scenario #3: Finding out if all off User/Smurf/Aditya are telling the truth.

Assumption: All are telling the truth, (ie), all are town

Haari -> Normal/Paranoid/Insane (Adi as mafia)
User -> Normal/Paranoid/Insane (Smurf as mafia)
Smurf -> Normal/Naive/Insane (Abhas as town)
Aditya -> Normal/Paranoid/Insane (Smurf as mafia)

From scenario #2,

Case 2: Adi's town and Smurf's town

User and Adi are one off paranoid/insane. I'm then insane.

I'm confirmed insane. User and Adi are one off paranoid/insane. Smurf's naive/normal.

BOOM! There's the much needed breakthrough. One off Adi/User's lying!