Expert Cop Mafia 5 - Game over. Town wins.

[Bevab]

I too feel the same way. Time zone differences and different times of activity for each member makes it tough. I'll be available only from 5 to 9, or most realistically 8 or 7.

 

[ved_]

No Lynch
Let's gather some more info over reports.

 

[Bevab]

I'll do a scenario analysis. Gimme some time.

 

[Sedition]

Damn, was hoping I'd be the only one with a mafia result. Down to Bevab and I for the Paranoid Cop now then.

For me barmyarmy showed up town. Atleast I'm not paranoid cop. From my point of view, Sedition is neither na?ve cop nor the sane cop. He's either insane/paranoid/mafia.

Hmm interesting that you only focused on my result. Since Barmy had first posted that you came up town for him, that would mean he's either sane or naive from your point of view

 

[Bevab]

Assuming:-

Yudi as mafia:-

Bevab-Insane/Normal/Paranoid
Barmy-Insane/Normal/Naive
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Sedition-Insane/Normal/Paranoid


Bevab as mafia:-

Barmy-Insane/Normal/Naive
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Yudi-Insane/Normal/Naive
Sedition-Insane/Normal/Paranoid


Zhuorb as Mafia:-

Bevab-Insane/Normal/Paranoid
Barmy-Insane/Normal/Naive
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Sedition-Insane/Normal/Paranoid


Barmy as mafia:-

Bevab-Insane/Normal/Paranoid
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Yudi-Insane/Normal/Naive
Sedition-Insane/Normal/Paranoid


Sedition as mafia:-

Bevab-Insane/Normal/Paranoid
Barmy-Insane/Normal/Naive
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Yudi-Insane/Normal/Naive


I posted everything, right?

 

[Varun]

Okay, the day will be over ~12 hours from now, unless a no lynch majority is obtained in an hour or so.

 

[Sedition]

At the risk of confusing myself and others.. Since either Bevab or me are Paranoid, that means neither of us could be sane, as that would make our mafia result true and conflict with all the town results from the remaining insane cop out of Barmy, Yudi and Zhuorb.

 

[Bevab]

Assuming:-

Yudi as mafia:-

Bevab-Insane/Normal/Paranoid
Barmy-Insane/Normal/Naive
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Sedition-Insane/Normal/Paranoid


Bevab as mafia:-

Barmy-Insane/Normal/Naive
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Yudi-Insane/Normal/Naive
Sedition-Insane/Normal/Paranoid


Zhuorb as Mafia:-

Bevab-Insane/Normal/Paranoid
Barmy-Insane/Normal/Naive
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Sedition-Insane/Normal/Paranoid


Barmy as mafia:-

Bevab-Insane/Normal/Paranoid
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Yudi-Insane/Normal/Naive
Sedition-Insane/Normal/Paranoid


Sedition as mafia:-

Bevab-Insane/Normal/Paranoid
Barmy-Insane/Normal/Naive
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Yudi-Insane/Normal/Naive


I posted everything, right?

Just saw I again did a mistake, posted Zhuorb's results in his own assumption.

 

[barmyarmy]

Can you please give some reason for that FOS? It seems very random.

Simple. If there are 5 results; 2 mafia and 3 town the chances are strongly stacked that one of the three towns is lying. Hence you or Yudi is mafia.

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Oh and No Lynch.

 

[Sedition]

Not sure Bevab, too much to take in for the moment and I'm taking a somewhat different outlook Could be some elaborate mafia confusion on your part, but either way one of you and I are the Paranoid Cop.

Assuming that we're both town, the other must be the insane. Thus the sane, naive and mafia are amongst Barmy, Yudi and Zhuorb.

 

[Bevab]

Assuming:-

Yudi as mafia:-

Bevab-Insane/Normal/Paranoid
Barmy-Insane/Normal/Naive
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Sedition-Insane/Normal/Paranoid


Bevab as mafia:-

Barmy-Insane/Normal/Naive
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Yudi-Insane/Normal/Naive
Sedition-Insane/Normal/Paranoid


Zhuorb as Mafia:-

Bevab-Insane/Normal/Paranoid
Barmy-Insane/Normal/Naive
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Sedition-Insane/Normal/Paranoid


Barmy as mafia:-

Bevab-Insane/Normal/Paranoid
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Yudi-Insane/Normal/Naive
Sedition-Insane/Normal/Paranoid


Sedition as mafia:-

Bevab-Insane/Normal/Paranoid
Barmy-Insane/Normal/Naive
Zhuorb-Insane/Normal/Naive
Yudi-Insane/Normal/Naive


I posted everything, right?

Ok, now more analysis.


1st Scenario:-

Yudi as Mafia


Bevab could be paranoid, insane
Barmy could be normal, naive
Zhuorb could be normal, naive
Sedition could be insane, paranoid


An OK scenario.


2nd Scenario:-

Bevab as Mafia


Barmy could be normal, naive
Yudi could be insane, naive
Sedition could be insane, paranoid
Zhuorb could be normal, naive


An OK scenario.



3rd Scenario:-


Zhuorb as mafia

Bevab could be insane, paranoid
Barmy could be insane, naive
Yudi could be normal, naive
Sedition could be normal, paranoid



4th Scenario:-


Barmy as mafia


Bevab could be normal, paranoid
Yudi could be normal, naive
Sedition could be insane, paranoid
Zhuorb could be insane, naive



An OK scenario



5th Scenario:-


Sedition as mafia


Bevab could be insane, paranoid
Yudi could be normal, naive
Zhuorb could be normal, naive
Barmy could be normal, naive


Interesting scenario, pretty much rules out Sedition I guess.

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A no lynch seems the best option and if it isn't confirmed as a no lynched day, then


No Lynch

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Will see you tomorrow fellas, bye bye.

 

[barmyarmy]

Ok, some data and then analysis (have checked and is the same as above. Always check!):

|Sedition |barmyarmy|Zhuorb |Bevab| Yudi
Sedition| X| In/Pa| No/Pa| In/Pa| In/Pa
barmyarmy|No/Na| X| Na/In| No/Na| No/Na
Zhuorb|No/Na| In/Na| X| No/Na| No/Na
Bevab|In/Pa |No/Pa| In/Pa| X| In/Pa
Yudi|No/Na| No/Na| No/Na| Na/In| X

From that we can say the following:

- Sedition cannot be mafia

From my POV I know the following (flowing from my innocence)

- Bevab is paranoid
- Sedition is insane
- Zhuorb cannot be mafia if sedition is insane
- the mafia is Yudi

Obviously I don't expect any of you to agree with that and lynch Yudi yet as you don't know for sure that I'm town. If I die you will see that I'm town.

@Zhuorb - you are the other half of my normal/naive so I suggest both of us check out Yudi tonight. If I die you'll know he's mafia. If you're normal cop you'll know he's mafia.

There isn't any point in us checking out sedition even though he's cleared as we're trying to find normal/naive.

@bevab - you need to investigate Yudi and you will get a "town" result.

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Ok, slight mistake above. Bevab and Sedition are not definitely paranoid/insane respectively as it could still work vice versa with Zhuorb as mafia.
That would make me naive.

As I said right at the start it's one of Yudi or Zhuorb.

 

[Varun]

Ah, that's majority reached.

No Lynch (3) - Zhuorb, Colin, Bevab.

It's night 1, send in your roles.

 

[Sedition]

Really don't get why we voted no lynch when time was expiring soon anyway, just ended the day prematurely for those still here.

 

[barmyarmy]

We weren't going to lynch on day 1 anyway although in your position I can see why you might have wanted a lynch!
Unlucky again.