Ok, here it goes:
I have a thorough understanding of human behavior and use this mainly to manipulate situations to your advantage (mostly to pick up women). Each night I get to choose one person and influence him to vote for another. However, if I pick a mafia to vote for someone, the result is catastrophic.
On further enquiry I found catastrophic meaning as I would die, so hence I havent used my role in risk of death, and my strategy so far has been to save it and probably use it in the last few nights where I kinda know the mafia/town is and help me to survive the game by lynching the other party out.
Fact is I am not mafia thats proven, my last nights writeup. No one disagrees to that, so you better pick out the mafia.
Looking at the roles, the weakest claims come from Colin and Varun. Colins more so, because he has to "recruit" someone, with me, town and mafia, we already have three parties doesnt make sense to have another party involved even if its masons. And a vanilla townie is always a safe claim to bet for a mafia.
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Edit: by* last nights writeup