rjgplmalolan said:
the rule should be 5 reviews for the match
Guessing you didn't give that a lot of thought, if you mean per batting/bowling that's only one more than they get already so not going to make a world of difference. They aren't psychic so won't know if they'll need them later on, if anything it may encourage them to waste them more as they've a "spare".
Better to check ALL dismissals given out, that way the umpire could edge towards giving it out with the safety net there. At the moment whether he gives it or not leads to the dreaded "umpire's call" and means the same delivery would be given out or not out on his call - that is a big FLAW in the system that the number of reviews wouldn't address.
It can't help that the bowlers will see the non-dismissals and feel hard done by because dorkeye shows it hitting the stumps but goes "umpire's call". Replays are invariably what brought about the reviews, TV showing the public and pundits that errors are made, but the same evidence is still available and getting decisions wrong via DRS doesn't make having DRS any better. You'd be better banning TV from replaying decisions and ditching DRS.
Apparently there's rain on the way for Days 4 and 5. Not sure how much but could take some play out of the game.
For me England need to bat 5 sessions (with a decent RR 3-4) to retain the ashes. 5 sessions would take us to tea tomorrow and at 80 runs per session, place us close to evens on first innings with 4 sessions to go.
England cant really afford to lose more than 5 wickets today...
It's been hot for a few weeks so rain may not be so bad in terms of the outfield.
England will need to get close to the follow on total, passing it may resign this Test to a draw so the decision to declare and not put those extra runs on may prove a mistake.
Time may not have been an issue, but England would rather only face a follow on target of low 300s than nearer 400, especially if the aussies then have to make enough to force a tough target AND have enough time to bowl England out on a pitch they made over 500 on.
If it wasn't turning it would be a dead set draw but Lyon has a point to prove and Smith has bowled nicely in this series
There's also the factor of an England win looking very unlikely, so what are the batsmen batting towards? Predominantly survival, so motivation will have to be dug deep. I'd have considered sending in Bairstow not Trott, simply to give him a good chance of a hundred and Trott may need to stave off the follow on which I'd back him over Bairstow.
If wickets fall nicely for the aussies, and I don't mean a collapse but at good times/timing, they could have a second new ball to nick out Bell/Trott and then have a go at Bairstow, an out of sorts Prior, and the lower order. May be a small window of opportunity, but England need to still be batting well after 80 overs and if the next couple of wicket partnerships bat well then 50 overs isn't a bad guesstimate as to around when they might both be gone and England 4+ wickets down.
For me where England have 'gone wrong', and it isn't unusual, is not picking up regular wickets. 214 for the 4th wicket, near 100 for the 8th unbeaten, they conceded 398 runs for just four wickets after Rogers was out and needed just to plug away. It's what the aussies need to do, they can afford to spin away and rotate the seamers from the other end until the new ball is available.
And of course they have not only Smith, but Clarke as well. They surely won't make the same mistake as England of using one spinner and only four other spin overs................. especially with KP and Root in the side.
And WTF was with Trott bowling one over? Have we not long established his wicket threat is minimal, while wobbling the ball about a bit might be handy, it needs to be late swing, maybe quicker, or at least not just 'dobbers'. Spin was the better way to go