The pitch looks totally flat at times. I'm really confused as to what a good target is.
Similar position to the one Aus were in this morning. If Bell can stay there and we can add another 100/150 I'll be fairly confident.
Always seems just when a side is batting well everything goes to pieces. The aussies were five down overnight and added just 48 runs with one batsman set and the new ball not far off
The wickets fall has thrown up all kinds of mixed messages about how the pitch is playing, what we can assume is it is safe to assume nothing.
England 1st innings : 149/2 > 238 all out
Australia 1st innings : 76/4 > 205/4 > 238 all out
England 2nd innings : 49/3 > 221/4
Best partnerships
129 Rogers/Watson
106 Pietersen/Bell
73 Cook/Trott
66 Bell/Bairstow
'Wicket rushes' *
England 89/8
Australia 33/6
England 49/3
Australia 76/4
*3+ wickets at less than 20 per wicket
I make it four partnerships of 50+ and four (mini/full) collapses of 3+ wkts for less than 20 apiece. If you're going to assume anything, it may be that after a partnership there may well be a clutch of wickets fall quickly. That's 21 of the 25 wickets to fall going for just 247 runs, the four 50+ partnerships adding 374 runs.
aussies really need to get England out very quickly, if England are still batting by lunch then it could be a very tough target on this pitch. No side has made more than 270, if England get anything like another 70 runs then the aussies will be chasing that, although England will then have passed 300 themselves.
Haarithan said:
Funny how Australia have boasted a first innings lead on 3 off the 4 tests played so far in this series, and yet it's 2-0 to England
I touched on it elsewhere, the aussies fought hard and narrowly lost the 1st Test, they were comprehensively beaten 2nd Test and robbed of a good chance of a win in a strong position in the 3rd Test.
Whether the BBC are right in suggesting England are in control I couldn't say with great certainty, probably just about if you assume they add more runs and set something around the 270 mark with the batting of the aussies not consistent this series.
They brought back bad boy Warner to average a mere 16.33 which is less than Khawaja 18.60, the dropped Hughes 27.67 and only better than Cowan 7.00 and some tailenders
That said, Rogers is looking like a Test batsman, Clarke is always a threat, Watson can score runs even if it is a modest 30.57 average and no score bigger than 68. Outside of the top two averages, Clarke and Rogers, EIGHT aussies are averaging between 26.00 and 36.00 .
While Broad has had a cracking Test with the ball, none of the England main bowlers is averaging under 26 for the series and 10 x 26 = 260. Of course Broad may well continue his form of the 1st innings and render that statistic moot, but if the aussies do to us what we did to the windies in 2000, basically play out the main threat and pick off runs against the rest, then his threat may be limited.
It's harder to block two major bowling threats than one, that works in the aussies' favour. Maybe Swann will have a good day, top wicket taker on either side in the series and took 5/44, 4/78 and 5/159 in three consecutive innings. Remarkably nine of his 21 wickets have come LBW, over his career 69/243 wickets have come LBW (28%) compared to 43% here.