Australia definitely not favourites. you need at least one quality spinner out there and also batsman like cook, compton, trott who are able to battle through hours of 2 runs per over cricket. can't see warner, Watson and Hughes being able to flung their natural instincts.
Words of truth...Hughes and Warner are OK once they are going, but they are at their flowing best vs pace. I think Watson will get well and truly bogged vs spin, especially if he's batting at #4 and coming out against spin - and Warner and Hughes probably will get bogged often too. Going to take a lot of discipline and technical ability to bat for long periods.
And Lyon+Doherty isn't even close to Swann+Monty I'm afraid. The Aussie quicks are going to have to be BRILLIANT.
O'Keefe instead of Doherty! I've been calling that over the past 2 years.
Yep. I really don't like Doherty much - just his bowling style as much as his results...but O'Keefe could have solved the 2nd spinner issue AND the all-rounder issue. O'Keefe, Johnson, Starc, Siddle and Lyon wouldn't be the worst 7-11 in world cricket that's for sure, plus you get a much better 2nd spinning option than Maxwell. To illustrate, Maxwell with bat has averaged 36 in 11/12, and 31 in 12/13 in FC cricket, O'Keefe has averaged 29 and 26 in those 2 years. Not much difference in batting ability, for a much more useful bowler.
I'm not going to hammer the squad too much, I can see why pretty much all the guys were picked, although I wish they'd only picked one of Smith/Maxwell and taken Brad Haddin instead - I think a confident Haddin would be good against the Indian spinners. The 5 quick bowlers named were obvious, as were most of the batsmen.
I'm not convinced that Maxwell will be awesome in the all-rounder role...I'd personally prefer Steve Smith
He's more experienced in India and playing on turning SCG wickets, and he turns the ball the opposite way to Lyon ie. The current captaincy obsession for spinners who turn the ball away from batsmen would get a stern test if Maxwell plays as the all-rounder, and has to follow Lyon, particularly if India are on top. Plenty of right handers for India, and if they've already conquered Lyon, Maxwell will seem like a kitten (see what I did there
). He'll probably get a few wickets based on the Indian batsmen's egos, but relying on him to be consistently useful is ambitious.
What would I be doing? I think Clarke and Warner could probably cobble together 10-15 overs of decent spin per day - Clarke for economy, Warner to induce a false shot. So I'd be playing neither Maxwell or Henriques, I'd be encouraging Shane Watson to bloody start bowling again, and I would have picked O'Keefe so Australia could play a 5th bowler without much issue.